Kay Hagan needs a really good Get Out The Vote effort to hold onto her seat.
But the GOP has put a lot of resources into catching up with the Democrats in terms of technology. While I'm sure the Democrats have not been standing still, closing tech gaps -- or even leap-frogging them, as the Democrats did between 2000 and 2008 -- is very doable.
And the best GOTV tech won't overcome a lack of enthusiasm.
Here's where Hagan has an advantage some of her Senatorial peers may lack. North Carolina progressives are highly pissed off at the GOP regime in Raleigh. They're looking for reasons to love the moderate Hagan.
She's already running against Raleigh, which is smart.
You know what would be smarter? To run against Raleigh's obstructionist strategy on healthcare.
ACA is yours in this race no matter what, Kay. Owning it is good politics, and good GOTV fodder for the liberal wing of your party.