The North Carolina Republican Party is circulating early-turnout numbers that look good for Romney and for Pat McCrory, although my sense is that McCrory is a mortal lock in any case. NC GOP Executive director Scott Laster confirmed to me these numbers come from his team.
Combined Early Vote Returns (One Stop Voting + Vote by Mail) compared to 2008
- Democrats share of total votes cast has decreased by more than 3.5%
o Raw total of Ds have declined by 55k
- Republicans share of total votes cast has increased by nearly 1.5%
o Raw total of Rs have increased by 63k
- Unaffiliateds share of total votes cast has increased by more than 2%
o Raw total of Us have increased 77k
- The Republican/Democrat swing makes up over 110k votes
Age Group voting trends through the One Stop Period:
- 18-30 year olds finished One Stop Voting nearly 1% below their 2008 performance.
- 31-44 year olds finished One Stop Voting nearly 3% below their 2008 performance.
- 45-65 year olds finished One Stop Voting nearly even with their 2008 performance at +.02%
- 66+ finished One Stop Voting 4.5% above their 2008 performance. This age group experience the largest change and an increase of over 110,000 votes specific to this age block.