Under The Dome is running an Iowa Caucus pool.

« Premodernism | Main | Overreaction »
Under The Dome is running an Iowa Caucus pool.
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341cc33e53ef00e54fbd35858833
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Poll pool:
You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.
This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.
As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.
Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.
Don't feel like going through the extensive sign-up form at the Dome. For kicks, my picks here:
Obama: 37%
Edwards: 31.5%
Clinton: 29.5%
Romney: 31%
Huckabee: 29%
McCain: 15%
Paul: 9%
Thompson: 8%
Giuliani: 7%
Posted by: Roch101 | Jan 03, 2008 at 12:51 AM
Obama and Edwards within one percent of each other for first and second, Clinton 3 percent below. Richardson and Biden will do better than expected, with one, maybe both, in double figures.
No prediction for the GOP. There's only one real Republican in the race. The rest are examples of The Things Bush Created. Except for Paul, who's like your entertaining friend who will never be allowed to drive your car.
I'll wager the Dem turnout is significantly higher than for the GOP.
Posted by: billg | Jan 03, 2008 at 08:29 AM
I thought I heard that you had to pull 15% or more. If you are below 15% your delegates (?) had to vote for someone else and you get 0.
Posted by: mick | Jan 03, 2008 at 09:42 AM
You're right, Mick. I believe caucus goers who support a candidate who fell below the threshold may abstain or switch. The Dems keep all the votes secret and release a tally of delegates won by each candidate. The GOP doesn't have a thresold, and just releases the vote count.
Posted by: billg | Jan 03, 2008 at 10:14 AM
Mick, that's true, for the Dems only and at each individual caucuses. Thus it's possible that, state-wide, a candidate could garner less than 15% but still earn delegates. If, for example, there were enough caucuses where Richardson met the 15% threshold, he could show up with a state-wide percentage of something less than 15%. The 15% threshold applies to the caucus, not the state-wide total.
Posted by: Roch101 | Jan 03, 2008 at 11:10 AM
After the candidates failing to reach 15% are eliminated, all voters get to recast votes for the remaining candidates, not just those whose candidates are eliminated. As Roch said, this is only true at caucuses for the Dems.
Posted by: Patrick Eakes | Jan 03, 2008 at 02:47 PM
Roch:
I posted your numbers for you and will consider you an entrant:
http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/the_dome_office_pool#comment-2929
RTB
Posted by: Ryan teague Beckwith | Jan 03, 2008 at 03:49 PM
Thanks, Ryan.
Posted by: Roch101 | Jan 04, 2008 at 12:04 AM